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House prices bottom in 2009 - true or you've got to be kidding

Categories: Buying a Home, Selling a Home, Real Estate Investing, Homeownership
Posted Wednesday, August 13, 2008 | 107 Views | 2 Comments |Article Rating

Today I read/saw two very conflicting opinions on the future of the housing market. Where is the truth? Frankly I don't think anybody knows but probably somewhere in the middle.

So on one hand we have Allen Greenspan - "Home prices in the U.S. are likely to start to stabilize or touch bottom sometime in the first half of 2009," he said in an interview with the Wall Street Journal, reported on the newspaper's website on Wednesday. See full Yahoo article here.

On the other hand I watched the below video where some "expert" was explaining (granted, sometimes quite logically) why the housing market will continue to suffer for the foreseeable feature.

Now, I think Allen Greenspan is somewhat responsible for the current crisis so why would we trust him now - he didn't see the bubble bursting so he may not be seeing the bottom correctly either. The other guy sounds to me like the type of person that likes to paint dark pictures because it makes for better news (ever wonder why  90% of the news on TV is about bad things happening to good people?).

My opinion? As I said above - nobody really knows, it is virtually impossible to predict/time a bottom. Just remember that real estate is local and there are local knowledgeable professionals to help you with your buy/sell decisions.

Comments

"A Quick Note" on Friday, August 15, 2008
I have a theory that says: As soon as the Presidential election is over and done with, [regardless of who wins] our overall economic and housing market will "magically" be great all of a sudden...The last time this theory worked in practice was 2000.

The doom and gloom crowd love to paint an ugly picture just in case their candidate wins...then he can look like a hero for bringing us hope...if he doesn't win, they don't have to change their thinking at all and are prepared to say "see I told you so".

So many economic indicators are truly positive that a hero will definitely be born on innauguration day...and then we can all get back to business! Our underlying economy is incredibly strong despite what you may have heard. The only thing stalling a recovery is consumer confidence. Again, as soon as the election is over, consumer confidence will rebound and somehow our new president will get the credit.

Ivan,
I think for a lot of the country that the prices will start to stabilize. It was never very bad here but in certain places, there are a lot of people upside down in their mortgage. It was good to hear from another agent that prices were going up and inventory was decreasing in Las Vegas. This is not a time for partisan politics- it really is a time to roll up our sleeves and get to work. Thanks for the post

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